Copy-tradingKilled

An upgraded copy-trading bot, with three fixes bolted on

0 of 5 gates

of the pre-set pass tests cleared, on just 2 trades, far too few to judge

In plain English

An upgraded copy-trading bot made only two trades in the test window, far too few to prove anything, so we can’t call it a win.

What it needed

30+ trades, beats simply holding, no single trade dominating

→

What it got

only 2 trades, all five checks failed

Why it's dead

The v2 fixes (soft-trail, maker-maker, regime gate) were tested in a 7-day window that produced only 2 trades, far below the locked n≥30 floor. Insufficient sample; the class isn't permanently retired, but v2 as specified is dead.

The detail

§5 side-by-side fired 2026-05-17. All five locked gates fail: n=2 (≪30), beats-HODL-by-$10 false, concentration 75.1%, down-regime n=0. Direction-of-evidence (n=2, not verdict-bearing) had v2 ahead of v1, but anti-p-hacking rules forbid rescuing a kill on it.

Kill date: 2026-05-17
Sample: n=2 (7-day window)
Method: Pre-registered
Verdict: insufficient sample

Pre-registered before the data. Judged on a criterion locked in advance. Published whatever the result.

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